It’s been quiet on the foreign policy front as far as Trump is concerned–it’s been a few days since he threatened to attack anyone–but that doesn’t mean Trump’s foreign policy issues are going away. We need to seriously consider what has been happening both outside of the Trump administration but also inside. Most administrations surround themselves with people that are experts for a reason but Trump seems to think that’s a dumb idea. Meanwhile, Bannon thinks WWIII is going to happen. Based on his past remarks he might even be willing to start it himself. Which is scary. Really scary. Especially when you consider that Trump thinks Bannon is his man.
One thing we know about Iran is they don’t particularly respond well to American pressure. If we start threatening them militarily, if we start taking military action against them, that will give them an obvious incentive to try and restart their nuclear program. And that then places the United States in the position of whether or not it genuinely wants to go to war to try and prevent that. I think the Obama administration understood that that path was not the path we wanted to go down. I think we have to worry now, given the attitude of Mr. Trump and some of his closest advisers, that they actually see a conflict with Iran as being in the United States’ interest. The big problem, of course, is they also seem to want to have a conflict with almost the entire Islamic world, while at the same time getting some of the members of the Arab or Islamic world to help us with ISIS. Again, this is just an example of where their policies are deeply contradictory and, therefore, are unlikely to succeed.